ELL NINO NOT YET AT ITS PEA, WEATHER MAN SAYS.
The ongoing rain has already caused more havoc in Kenya with coast, nyanza and North Eastern among the most affected
We’ve seen bridges washed away,villages submerged,people forced to abandon their homes for safely, but the weatherman is here again with the heads up.
The weather forecast for the coming two weeks. A large low pressure system is moving in from the East. Heavy rains and catastrophic floods are predicted in Northern and Eastern Kenya.
As much as 300-400mm of rain may fall in places in the next 10-15 days. To compound the issue, a tropical cyclone is forming off the Somalia coast and when it makes landfall, it will bring extreme rainfall to Somalia and North Eastern Kenya. The situation in North and Eastern Kenya which is already affected,will be critical and may require mandatory evacuation or movement to higher ground.
For the next three weeks, the model show the rainfall totals will exceed 1997-98 El Nino floods.
Nairobi which is yet to receive the worst of the ongoing rain, may be hardest hit with around 120mm of rain predicted.
Next week, as much as 250mm of rainfall is predicted in Mt Kenya and Abedare regions. The Metrology department of Kenya is quietly advising the government to prepare for coming disaster, as we’ll be facing an unprecedented El Nino phenomenon, exceeding the 1997-98 catastrophe. Stay safe.